Florida Gators (4-4) vs. Texas Longhorns (7-1)
November 9, 2024 12:00 PM EDT
The Line: Texas Longhorns -21 / Florida Gators +21; Over/Under: +52.5
(Get the latest betting odds)
The Florida Gators and Texas Longhorns meet in college football action Saturday at Darrell K. Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium. Here are the predictions for Texas vs. Florida. We look at this from a betting perspective to determine the best Texas vs. Florida contender.
Florida Gators Betting Preview
The Gators started the year with a 1-2 record, with a win over Sanford and losses to Miami and Texas A&M. The Gators defeated Mississippi State, UCF, and Kentucky in their next four games, but lost to Tennessee, 3-1.
In last weekend’s game against Georgia State, the Gators held a 13-6 lead by halftime. However, Florida was outscored 28-7 the rest of the way and lost 34-20. QB Aidan Warner had 66 yards and a pick. Jacobi Jackson led the rush with 74 yards on 12 carries and one score.
Texas Longhorns Betting Preview
On the Texas side, they went 6-0 from the start with wins over Colorado State, Michigan, UTSA, Los Angeles-Monroe, Mississippi State, and Oklahoma State. The Longhorns suffered their first loss, 30-15, to a tough Georgia team, but defeated Vanderbilt the following weekend.
Against Vanderbilt on October 26, the Longhorns scored in every quarter and gave up points in every quarter until winning a close game 27-24. QB Quinn Ewers rushed for 288 yards, 3 TDs, and 2 picks. DeAndre Moore caught six balls for 97 yards and two scores.
Why the Texas Longhorns will win
Texas has won each of its past 17 games against non-AP ranked teams. Florida has lost each of its last seven games in November. Texas covered the outbreak in five of its last six games in November against non-AP ranked teams. Texas has won 10 of its past 11 games against conference opponents in the first half. Texas has won in the first quarter in six of the past seven games against conference opponents at Darrell K. Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium.
Why the Florida Gators will win
Florida has covered an outbreak in each of its past five games. Texas has failed to cover the spread in three of its past four games. Florida has won each of its past four games against conference opponents in the first half.
total points facts
Eleven of the University of Florida’s last 12 games against conference opponents have been over the combined point line. Texas’ last three home games in November have all been over the point line.
Texas vs Florida Prediction
I might try Florida here. The Gators put up a valiant effort in the first half against a great Georgia team over the weekend, but ultimately fell short. Florida gained 228 yards (113 passing) in the loss and had several turnovers, but was just 3-of-16 on third downs. It was a huge failure after scoring 48 points against Kentucky.
As for Texas, they had some extra time to rest and prepare after a close win against Vanderbilt. The Longhorns won 14-6 in the second half of that matchup, accumulating 10 penalties for 107 yards. Texas should clean things up and look better here, but I think the Gators can get into coverage if all goes well.
